eis que - ao ler um issue de Patrick Garot, about o tema, pincei uns pedacinhos a ilustrar o quanto de imaginacao fertil e apenas isso, alicerca, in fact, tais engenhosidades sensacionalistas, colocando inclusive, sobre as costas daquele bravo, porem pobre, abandonado e sofrido povo, a quase 'obrigacao' de se tornar o 'Salvador do Mundo'.
citando apenas 'chamadas', a serem oportunamente chafurdadas porrrrai pela eventual curiosidade e ou interesse maior do leitor:
1. Manipulacao do Valor da Moeda,
2. Pobreza Interna.
3. Demanda Interna consequente.
4. O Partidao, com suas verdades e mentiras.
e finalmente, o texto integro final que aborda as questoes oriundas de Precedentes Historicos, inclusive de geopolitica e a constatacao final do articulista de que e o por que d a China ainda estar looonge do que ja anunciam os alegres arautos inconsequentes e incipientes... but, o que achei mais importante, verdadeira perola, foi a parte das 'Leis e DA EDUCACAO' (onde mais me chamou a atencao o ATRAZO, PROPOSITAL (OF COURSE, JA QUE POVO CULTO NAO ACEITA DITADURAS), NA MENTALIDADE DO PODER, quanto a necessidade, maior a meu ver, de se investir neste nicho, O MAIS IMPORTANTE FUNDAMENTO PARA A EDIFICACAO DE UMA NACAO
"Law and Education
Anyone who does business in China will tell you contracts mean little, judges reflect the Party, and it is a land of a hundred excuses, lies and slights veiled as misunderstandings. Rule of Law means nil. As much as we in the West seem to invent laws everyday to cope with this crisis, we still adhere to process. And when even process gives out, there remains the ballot box. Not so in the PRC.
China’s education system is producing a wealth of technical professionals like engineers, but to look at abstract numbers lacks context. China does not produce the smartest or most creative of these, nor does it produce a large share relative to its 1.3 billion population. In fact, the bottom 80% are under-educated: only 9 years compulsory education is provided.
China spends just 2.5% of GDP on education, ranking it 155 out of 182 nations.Contrast this to Argentina’s 3.8% or Brazil’s 4.0%.
In 1989, Sony (SNE) Chairman Akio Morita published “The Japan That Can Say No” (here), which asserted that the West depended so much on a “smarter” Japan, that all Japanese should shed views of their country as a “poor island nation with few natural resources”, and embrace their own “innate superiority”.
We saw how that movie played. Trade runs two ways. In Japan’s case, its hoard of dollars led to a giant asset bubble and two lost decades. In China’s case, its dollar and Euro hoard may find a different path, but the outcome will be the same. Huge overpayments for in-vogue assets of the day (for the Japanese, Columbia Pictures, Rock Center, Pebble Beach; for the Chinese, natural resources firms).
It’s called “trade” for a reason. A manipulated currency, a one-way street, comes back to haunt.
China Can’t Lead
For each photo of the glitzy Shanghai Bund, imagine six photos of Mexico, Kenya or Cambodia beside it. Such is the PRC that the Chinese know – 14% glitter, 86% hardship or worse.
China has wealth in sheer numbers, but since most folks subside in poverty, this wealth is opportunity, not reality. China and its Party remain reliant on the ability and assent of other nations to raise the tide for its bottom 80%.
While we can expect a rotation that has China trading more to resource-rich Latin America and Africa, China’s biggest markets still will be where the numbers are – the US and Western Europe – for decades to come.
China can’t lead because it is mostly poor. It can’t lead because its snarky forex plan haunts it. It can’t lead because of its Party’s dynamics. It can’t lead because, like Japan before it, it has yet to learn that “trade” isn’t run as a scam, but goes two ways.
Which, in the case of a few Chinese engineers I’ve used, means actually paying for their copies of Office and Autodesk… too much to ask? When that happens, I’ll know the Chinese century may be beginning."
quanto ao meu Titulo, este tal Zhou, por certo figuraca do Partidao la deles, quer (...tambem) "acabar com esse negocio do tal de dolar ser a moeda de troca internacional"...parece que o boss la TAMBEM ja ta achando o tal de dolar 'muito escasso'... qua, deviam se calar (os 2).